Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.914793 2.214590 2.544066 2.932778 3.378608 3.873739 4.465137
2025-03-16 1.439048 1.816432 2.266666 2.842504 3.558576 4.418905 5.530306
2025-03-23 1.217084 1.657777 2.222363 2.996610 4.028663 5.354821 7.186169
2025-03-30 1.031047 1.503840 2.149478 3.091740 4.427694 6.249432 8.917395
2025-04-06 0.863136 1.340110 2.030440 3.096472 4.694558 6.993388 10.542211
2025-04-13 0.692644 1.139951 1.823311 2.935329 4.690429 7.342383 11.639091
2025-04-20 0.615284 1.067328 1.792369 3.029007 5.072768 8.299236 13.756264
2025-04-27 0.563225 1.025637 1.801311 3.182691 5.563964 9.476665 16.358334
2025-05-04 0.505272 0.963462 1.765351 3.252823 5.920732 10.472028 18.775409
2025-05-11 0.450973 0.898381 1.713526 3.285018 6.211069 11.382070 21.145931
2025-05-18 0.389021 0.808647 1.603596 3.194440 6.265482 11.880365 22.838466
2025-05-25 0.329514 0.713849 1.470008 3.038860 6.174848 12.099117 24.033764
2025-06-01 0.295423 0.666627 1.424657 3.054183 6.424608 12.998640 26.658711
2025-06-08 0.256795 0.603528 1.338346 2.974672 6.475732 13.524017 28.624191
2025-06-15 0.244823 0.597104 1.369266 3.144612 7.061253 15.174481 33.041540
2025-06-22 0.228548 0.578149 1.370288 3.249692 7.522282 16.623483 37.212775
2025-06-29 0.207072 0.543263 1.330598 3.257846 7.771619 17.655956 40.619171
2025-07-06 0.177068 0.482274 1.221672 3.090366 7.602150 17.764356 42.020397
2025-07-13 0.166603 0.469230 1.224896 3.189898 8.064293 19.321167 46.841953
2025-07-20 0.160337 0.466204 1.252223 3.352125 8.696208 21.332689 52.932897
2025-07-27 0.150030 0.450449 1.245073 3.426260 9.121267 22.909045 58.175143
2025-08-03 0.138850 0.430340 1.223670 3.460348 9.449595 24.290282 63.100482
2025-08-10 0.123460 0.395343 1.157303 3.365235 9.432167 24.825836 66.002362